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Splunk Announces Q4 and FY 2023 Results: Earnings Beating Expectations

The News: Splunk Inc. recently announced its earnings report for the fiscal fourth quarter (Q4) and full year (FY) 2023, ending on January 31, 2023. The data analysis company reported solid results, beating analysts’ expectations for both revenue and earnings per share. Read the full Splunk Press Release here.

Splunk Announces Q4 and FY 2023 Results: Earnings Beating Expectations

Analyst Take: For Q4, Splunk reported total revenue of $1.25 billion, up 39% from the same period in the previous year. This exceeded analysts’ estimates of $.075 billion. The company also reported earnings per share of $2.04 a share, which beat estimates of $1.14 per share. Additional Q4 highlights included:

  • GAAP operating margin was 21.3%; Non-GAAP operating margin was 37.9%.
  • GAAP net income was $269 million; GAAP EPS was $1.44.
  • Operating cash flow was $276 million; Free cash flow was $269 million.
  • 790 customers with total ARR greater than $1 million, an increase of 115 year-over-year.

Splunk’s FY revenue for 2023 was $3.654 billion, representing a 37% year-over-year (Y/Y) increase. FY2023 highlights include:

  • Total ARR was $3.674 billion, up 18% Y/Y.
  • Cloud revenue was $1.457 billion, up 54% Y/Ys.
  • GAAP operating margin was (6.4)%; Non-GAAP operating margin was 17.6%.
  • Operating cash flow was $450 million; Free cash flow was $427 million.

Splunk Announces Q4 and FY 2023 Results. Earnings Beating Expectations

The company’s CEO, Gary Steele, attributed the strong results to Splunk’s ability to help customers ensure that their digital systems are resilient and secure. The company’s growth was driven mostly by its software license business, which rose 51% Y/Y, beating estimates. Additionally, Splunk’s FY cloud revenue grew by 54% year-over-year — another strong piece of the company’s business.

Guidance for the Future

Looking ahead, Splunk is tempering expectations due to the economic downturn. The company’s guidance for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 is for revenue to be in the range of $710 million to $725 million, falling short of the target of $807 million. For the full fiscal year, Splunk is projecting revenue between $3.85 and $3.9 billion, which again is shy of the consensus for $4.02 billion.

We are encouraged by Splunk’s recent moves to continue its growth trajectory including the expansion of its ten-year alliance with AWS. From our view, joint Splunk and AWS customers are better positioned now to benefit from the Open Cybersecurity Framework (OCSF) with Amazon Security Lake aimed at decreasing the intricacy and costs for customers to make their security solutions data accessible to fulfill an array of security use cases such as threat detection, investigation, and incident response.

We find that Splunk Add-on for Amazon Security Lake enables customers to use Splunk to swiftly ingest the OCSF-compliant data in Amazon Security Lake data to assure that security teams can significantly improve their response capabilities. By providing a single feed of security data to manage, Splunk enables joint customers to avoid the complexities of managing multiple services coming from AWS or other security solutions.

Also, we anticipate that Splunk is adopting the right portfolio development and sales and marketing strategy to aid organizations in how they improve their use of data to better inform their cybersecurity decisions. This includes ensuring organizations have more visibility and understanding of data to bolster threat intelligence sharing and augmenting best security practices.

Splunk Fiscal Q4 & FY 2023: Key Takeaways

Overall, we find that Splunk’s Q4 and FY 2023 growth is inspiring against a backdrop of swift data growth and increased cybersecurity incidents. The annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth is encouraging and that the large customer growth is tracking well, suggesting the company can continue winning mind share and market inroads across the security and observability competitive landscape even with tempered fiscal Q1 and FY 2024 expectations.

Disclosure: Futurum Research is a research and advisory firm that engages or has engaged in research, analysis, and advisory services with many technology companies, including those mentioned in this article. The author does not hold any equity positions with any company mentioned in this article.

Analysis and opinions expressed herein are specific to the analyst individually and data and other information that might have been provided for validation, not those of Futurum Research as a whole.

Other insights from Futurum Research:

Splunk Fiscal Q3 2023: Total Revenues and Cloud Revenue up Spurring Full Year Outlook Uptick

Splunk’s .conf Recap: Platform and Cloud Are the Future

Splunk Q1 Result Delivers Robust Cloud Growth as Losses Narrow

Author Information

Daniel is the CEO of The Futurum Group. Living his life at the intersection of people and technology, Daniel works with the world’s largest technology brands exploring Digital Transformation and how it is influencing the enterprise.

From the leading edge of AI to global technology policy, Daniel makes the connections between business, people and tech that are required for companies to benefit most from their technology investments. Daniel is a top 5 globally ranked industry analyst and his ideas are regularly cited or shared in television appearances by CNBC, Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal and hundreds of other sites around the world.

A 7x Best-Selling Author including his most recent book “Human/Machine.” Daniel is also a Forbes and MarketWatch (Dow Jones) contributor.

An MBA and Former Graduate Adjunct Faculty, Daniel is an Austin Texas transplant after 40 years in Chicago. His speaking takes him around the world each year as he shares his vision of the role technology will play in our future.

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