Menu

Luminar Q4 2022 Earnings: Committing to Triple-Digit Revenue Growth for the next Five Years

The News: Luminar’s Q4 2022 revenues were $11.1 million versus $12.3 million in the prior year quarter and at the lower end of its guidance range, which the management team cited was due to the timing of its program and service revenue recognition. The company also held its Luminar Day where the company discussed future financials, company, and division strategies along with a flurry of product and service announcements. Read Luminar’s Q4 2022 earnings release for more details.

Luminar Q4 2022 Earnings: Committing to Triple-Digit Revenue Growth for the next Five Years

Analyst Take: At its Luminar Day, the company’s annual investor and analyst day, the management team reiterated the problem they are trying to address is there are 1.3 million annual fatalities from vehicle collisions globally which translates into 1 in 10 people tragically losing their lives in an automobile accident. Also, 50 million people are injured from collisions globally ever year.

Luminar also said that U.S. annual vehicle fatalities this past decade actually increased despite improvements implying that people could be more distracted among other many factors. Ultimately, this points to drivers needing better solutions to help them react which fits in line with the company’s vision of not replacing the driver but enhancing the driver.

The management team also laid out key financial and business milestones by the year-end for 2023. From a financial perspective, the company expects revenue growth of at least 100 percent along with reaching positive gross margins by Q4 2023. The company also announced that it expects to achieve at least triple-digit revenue growth every year for the next five years.

Other key announcements at the event included Luminar’s continued investments in its artificial intelligence capabilities (e.g., Scale.ai), new commercial deals (e.g., Swiss Re and Pony.ai), the planned production of over 20 production vehicles across many automakers, established Luminar semiconductor from a combination of subsidiaries, unveiling of new Iris+ sensor and its expansion into the insurance market.

Here are Luminar’s Q4 2022 results by the numbers

  • Q4 2022 Revenues of $11.1 million versus $12.3 in the prior year period
  • Q4 2022 non-GAAP net loss was $94.9 million
  • Q4 non-GAAP net loss per basic and diluted share was $(0.26) per share

2023 Financial Outlook:

  • The company expects revenue growth of at least 100 percent coupled with achieving positive gross margins by Q4 2023.

Wrapping it up, despite hitting the lower end of its Q4 2022 guidance range due to the timing of program and service revenue recognition, the company has set lofty revenue growth goals for the next several years and expects positive gross margin growth by Q4 2023. Our viewpoint is the company continues to innovate and make investments in the right areas which should translate into further wins down-the-road with automotive manufacturers.

Disclosure: Futurum Research is a research and advisory firm that engages or has engaged in research, analysis, and advisory services with many technology companies, including those mentioned in this article. The author does not hold any equity positions with any company mentioned in this article.

Analysis and opinions expressed herein are specific to the analyst individually and data and other information that might have been provided for validation, not those of Futurum Research as a whole.

Other insights from Futurum Research:

Luminar Multibillion Dollar Mercedes Deal

Luminar Enables Mercedes-Benz Next-Generation of Autonomous Vehicles

Luminar Q3 2022 Revenue Rises 60%, Hitting $12.8 Million YoY

Image Credit: Luminar

Author Information

Daniel is the CEO of The Futurum Group. Living his life at the intersection of people and technology, Daniel works with the world’s largest technology brands exploring Digital Transformation and how it is influencing the enterprise.

From the leading edge of AI to global technology policy, Daniel makes the connections between business, people and tech that are required for companies to benefit most from their technology investments. Daniel is a top 5 globally ranked industry analyst and his ideas are regularly cited or shared in television appearances by CNBC, Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal and hundreds of other sites around the world.

A 7x Best-Selling Author including his most recent book “Human/Machine.” Daniel is also a Forbes and MarketWatch (Dow Jones) contributor.

An MBA and Former Graduate Adjunct Faculty, Daniel is an Austin Texas transplant after 40 years in Chicago. His speaking takes him around the world each year as he shares his vision of the role technology will play in our future.

Related Insights
Silicon Labs Q4 FY 2025 Earnings Highlight Wireless Momentum and Acquisition
February 13, 2026

Silicon Labs Q4 FY 2025 Earnings Highlight Wireless Momentum and Acquisition

Brendan Burke, Research Director at Futurum, analyzes Silicon Labs’ Q4 FY 2025 results and TI’s pending acquisition, highlighting industrial wireless momentum, manufacturing synergies, and how internalized production could expand reach...
T-Mobile Q4 FY 2025 Results Highlight Broadband and Digital Scale
February 13, 2026

T-Mobile Q4 FY 2025 Results Highlight Broadband and Digital Scale

Futurum Research analyzes T-Mobile’s Q4 FY 2025 results, focusing on account-based growth, broadband momentum, and AI-driven network experiences that underpin multi-year service revenue and Core Adjusted EBITDA expansion....
Lattice Semiconductor Q4 FY 2025 Record Comms & Compute, AI Servers +85%
February 12, 2026

Lattice Semiconductor Q4 FY 2025: Record Comms & Compute, AI Servers +85%

Futurum Research analyzes Lattice’s Q4 FY 2025 results, highlighting data center companion FPGA momentum, expanding security attach, and a growing new-product mix that supports FY 2026 growth and margin resilience....
AI Capex 2026 The $690B Infrastructure Sprint
February 12, 2026

AI Capex 2026: The $690B Infrastructure Sprint

Nick Patience, AI Platforms Practice Lead at Futurum, shares his insights on the massive AI capex plans of US hyperscalers, specifically whether the projected $700 billion infrastructure build-out can be...
Texas Instruments Buys Silicon Labs To Fuel Edge AI Scale
February 10, 2026

Texas Instruments Buys Silicon Labs To Fuel Edge AI Scale

Brendan Burke, Research Director at Futurum, examines Texas Instruments’ acquisition of Silicon Labs, assessing how manufacturing integration, portfolio scale, and cost discipline could reshape embedded wireless connectivity markets....
Microchip Q3 2026 Earnings Signal Mix Shift to Networking and Data Center
February 9, 2026

Microchip Q3 2026 Earnings Signal Mix Shift to Networking and Data Center

Brendan Burke, Research Director at Futurum, analyzes Microchip Technology's Q3 fiscal 2026 results including broad-based market recovery and strategic wins in automotive Ethernet and Gen 6 PCIe switching....

Book a Demo

Newsletter Sign-up Form

Get important insights straight to your inbox, receive first looks at eBooks, exclusive event invitations, custom content, and more. We promise not to spam you or sell your name to anyone. You can always unsubscribe at any time.

All fields are required






Thank you, we received your request, a member of our team will be in contact with you.