Luminar Q4 2022 Earnings: Committing to Triple-Digit Revenue Growth for the next Five Years

The News: Luminar’s Q4 2022 revenues were $11.1 million versus $12.3 million in the prior year quarter and at the lower end of its guidance range, which the management team cited was due to the timing of its program and service revenue recognition. The company also held its Luminar Day where the company discussed future financials, company, and division strategies along with a flurry of product and service announcements. Read Luminar’s Q4 2022 earnings release for more details.

Luminar Q4 2022 Earnings: Committing to Triple-Digit Revenue Growth for the next Five Years

Analyst Take: At its Luminar Day, the company’s annual investor and analyst day, the management team reiterated the problem they are trying to address is there are 1.3 million annual fatalities from vehicle collisions globally which translates into 1 in 10 people tragically losing their lives in an automobile accident. Also, 50 million people are injured from collisions globally ever year.

Luminar also said that U.S. annual vehicle fatalities this past decade actually increased despite improvements implying that people could be more distracted among other many factors. Ultimately, this points to drivers needing better solutions to help them react which fits in line with the company’s vision of not replacing the driver but enhancing the driver.

The management team also laid out key financial and business milestones by the year-end for 2023. From a financial perspective, the company expects revenue growth of at least 100 percent along with reaching positive gross margins by Q4 2023. The company also announced that it expects to achieve at least triple-digit revenue growth every year for the next five years.

Other key announcements at the event included Luminar’s continued investments in its artificial intelligence capabilities (e.g., Scale.ai), new commercial deals (e.g., Swiss Re and Pony.ai), the planned production of over 20 production vehicles across many automakers, established Luminar semiconductor from a combination of subsidiaries, unveiling of new Iris+ sensor and its expansion into the insurance market.

Here are Luminar’s Q4 2022 results by the numbers

  • Q4 2022 Revenues of $11.1 million versus $12.3 in the prior year period
  • Q4 2022 non-GAAP net loss was $94.9 million
  • Q4 non-GAAP net loss per basic and diluted share was $(0.26) per share

2023 Financial Outlook:

  • The company expects revenue growth of at least 100 percent coupled with achieving positive gross margins by Q4 2023.

Wrapping it up, despite hitting the lower end of its Q4 2022 guidance range due to the timing of program and service revenue recognition, the company has set lofty revenue growth goals for the next several years and expects positive gross margin growth by Q4 2023. Our viewpoint is the company continues to innovate and make investments in the right areas which should translate into further wins down-the-road with automotive manufacturers.

Disclosure: Futurum Research is a research and advisory firm that engages or has engaged in research, analysis, and advisory services with many technology companies, including those mentioned in this article. The author does not hold any equity positions with any company mentioned in this article.

Analysis and opinions expressed herein are specific to the analyst individually and data and other information that might have been provided for validation, not those of Futurum Research as a whole.

Other insights from Futurum Research:

Luminar Multibillion Dollar Mercedes Deal

Luminar Enables Mercedes-Benz Next-Generation of Autonomous Vehicles

Luminar Q3 2022 Revenue Rises 60%, Hitting $12.8 Million YoY

Image Credit: Luminar

Author Information

Daniel is the CEO of The Futurum Group. Living his life at the intersection of people and technology, Daniel works with the world’s largest technology brands exploring Digital Transformation and how it is influencing the enterprise.

From the leading edge of AI to global technology policy, Daniel makes the connections between business, people and tech that are required for companies to benefit most from their technology investments. Daniel is a top 5 globally ranked industry analyst and his ideas are regularly cited or shared in television appearances by CNBC, Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal and hundreds of other sites around the world.

A 7x Best-Selling Author including his most recent book “Human/Machine.” Daniel is also a Forbes and MarketWatch (Dow Jones) contributor.

An MBA and Former Graduate Adjunct Faculty, Daniel is an Austin Texas transplant after 40 years in Chicago. His speaking takes him around the world each year as he shares his vision of the role technology will play in our future.

SHARE:

Latest Insights:

Enhancements to the Pega Platform, Pega Blueprint, and AI Agents Are Also Designed To Help Organizations Modernize and Streamline Their Stack and Enable CX, Productivity, and Efficiency Gains Now and in the Future
Keith Kirkpatrick, Research Director with Futurum, shares his insights on the news from PegaWorld ‘25 and discusses the potential impact for other platform vendors operating in the market.
Snowflake’s $250 Million Crunchy Data Deal Intensifies Competition With Databricks and Others as the Company Seeks to Power Up Enterprise AI Through Postgres Cloud Innovation
Brad Shimmin, Vice President & Practice Lead, Data and Analytics at Futurum shares his/her insights on Snowflake’s acquisition of Crunchy. Discover how Snowflake’s $250 million Crunchy Data acquisition is set to reshape the AI data platform landscape and intensify the battle for enterprise cloud leadership.
Strong AI Demand and Growth in Electro-Optics and Custom Silicon Drive 63% YoY Revenue Surge
Olivier Blanchard, Research Director at Futurum, unpacks Marvell’s Q1 FY 2026 results, where strong AI demand, custom silicon ramp, and electro-optics gains fuel data center momentum amid cautious sentiment on margin delivery.
Record $6.3 Billion in Server Sales and $12.1 Billion in AI Orders Support Full-Year EPS Upgrade
Olivier Blanchard and Daniel Newman of Futurum explore how Dell’s record AI server momentum and rising backlog are fueling its infrastructure lead, even as consumer softness delays broader PC refresh tailwinds.

Book a Demo

Thank you, we received your request, a member of our team will be in contact with you.